Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. Boeberts Christian nationalist rhetoric has also drawn strong condemnation across the country. Birx said she believed the Trump White House bungled a chance to prevent up to 40 . FiveThirtyEight's modeling as of Nov. 1 gave Boebert a 97% chance of winning, while Frisch had just a 3% chance. The Lookout is a free, daily email newsletter with news and happenings from all over Colorado. Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert now leads her Democratic opponent Adam Frisch by more than 1,000 votes in her Colorado reelection race. It also has the largest proportion of Latino residents in the state. But she trailed on election night and only took a roughly 1,200-vote lead after two days of additional counting with thousands of ballots left to be tabulated. All Rights Reserved. So that is part of what's slowing us down.". A representative of the Moffat County Clerks Office told The Denver Post they plan to report a final tally of just 25 remaining ballots Friday. According toCBS News Colorado, the size of the 3rd District impacts the timing of results the district covers 27 counties that stretch from the northwest corner of the state to the more centralized Pueblo County. It's hard to say that one strategic decision would have made a difference in that complex environment, but it could have, said Kyle Saunders, political science professor at Colorado State University. Ad Choices. So we rode for 20 hours and talked to people who do that. Boebert, a Republican, began Thursday with the 1,122-vote lead she'd held since late last week, but that shrank to 543 votes out of 326,915 cast by 5:55 p.m., according to the Colorado . Boebert v Frisch race could be called as soon as today. Saunders said most of these unaffiliated voters are not independents and estimates 70% are likely to lean toward one party or another. The political newsletter Punchbowl reported that, at its winter retreat, the National Republican Campaign Committee distributed lists of the House members from each party who won their seats by the narrowest margins: Caraveo led the Democratic sheet, Boebert topped the Republican one. 2022 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. Boebert, a staunch Trump loyalist, fashions herself as a fighter in a broader cultural crusade for the soul of the nation and earned a spot on the so-called MAGA Squad alongside Georgia Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski, File) He adds, "If you're over bottom-feeding racist morons like Lauren Boebert: welcome." Walker will get a chance to expand on his approach during a February 26 CD3 candidate forum sponsored by the . Even more so, recounts have typically expanded the initial victory margin than reduced it, Fair Vote said. More: Stay in the conversation on politics: Sign up for the OnPolitics newsletter, Midterms 2022: Democrat Adam Frisch concedes to Lauren Boebert in close Colorado House race, Politics of Outrage: Why lawmakers like Rep. Lauren Boebert reap rewards from firebrand tactics, Trump-style: Far-right lawmakers use personal celebrity to draw in donors. The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 8, 2022, as part of the 2022 United States elections during incumbent president Joe Biden's term. Will Colorados car theft bill do enough to curb states record rate of theft? This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Lauren Boebert vs. Adam Frisch: Did Dems. lauren boebert approval rating in districtdoes keegan allen have a child 26th February 2023 / in west warwick viewpoint / by / in west warwick viewpoint / by One thing that probably hurt Boebert in 22 was the lack of a presidential race and the fact that the top of the ticket for Republicans for the Senate and the governors race werent particularly great vote draws, Masket explained. Experts told USA TODAY more support for Frisch wouldnt necessarily equate to a win for the Democrat over Boebert in the Republican-leaning district. State Sen. Don Coram challenged her in the June primary but lost by a wide margin. miss chance to flip seat? AIR Awareness Outreach; AIR Business Lunch & Learn; AIR Community of Kindness; AIR Dogs: Paws For Minds AIR Hero AIR & NJAMHAA Conference It may have been beneficial to Frisch to come across as a homegrown campaign, Wasserman said. All Rights Reserved. Boebert raised $6.7 million to Frischs $5.2 million, and $2.2 million of Frischs money came from his own pocket. New revelations about how one Trump staffer helped preserve the transfer of powerfrom the forthcoming book on the Biden White House, Louisiana Senator: Our Maternal Death Rates Are Only Bad If You Count Black Women, If you correct our population for race, were not as much of an outlier as itdotherwise appear.. Report: Trump Is Blaming Everyone but Himself for the Midterms. The newsletter identified state Sen. Don Coram, Boebert's strongest Republican opponent, as the politician whom "some believe (creates) the best chance of having a different representative in . Nov. 11, 2022, 8:51 PM UTC . The first sign is money, which pours into truly competitive races. Kirkmeyer, her opponent from last time, is continuing to serve in the state Senate and has not said whether she intends to try again for the seat. Be prepared to face new late fees. President Trump was in office when the . Frisch has called Boebert's style of leading "angertainment.". Experts told Newsweek that the vote is largely a referendum on the congresswoman, who "has managed to alienate a number of unaffiliated voters and possibly some Republicans in her district," according to Seth Masket, the director of the Center of American Politics at the University of Denver. Other problems may include an issue with the identification the voter has on file with the state. If such a narrow margin holds, the results will trigger an automatic recount for the race. Hardline conservative Rep. Lauren Boebert is facing a tougher-than-expected reelection race, with her Democratic challenger, Adam Frisch, holding a small lead . One thing is also certain, though: there wont be much, if any, campaign downtime. Frisch, of Aspen, attended congressional orientation in Washington, D.C., this week in case the remaining ballots turned in his favor. The good news for the GOP is that Boebert is on track to hold the advantage on the initial tally, and because recounts rarely change the outcome of an election, Republicans are poised to keep the seat. The Pelosi era is over, Boebert tweeted. Listen now. But she is running for re-election, and the midterms are upon us, and Colorado's 3rd Congressional District voters should know what a vote for Boebert actually means. Wednesday is also the deadline for voters whose ballots were uncountable, primarily because their signature was missing or rejected, to fix the problem known in the election world as curing. Still, he cautioned against assuming help from national Democrats would have put Frisch over the finish line. But he did so as alargely self-funded candidate, whoran a campaign without any financial help from national Democrats and struggled to get national pollsters and pundits to take him seriously during the bulk of the campaign. The nail-biter race showed the . And, Yes, That Includes Melania. Stay in the conversation on politics: Sign up for the OnPolitics newsletter, Democrat Adam Frisch concedes to Lauren Boebert in close Colorado House race, Why lawmakers like Rep. Lauren Boebert reap rewards from firebrand tactics, Far-right lawmakers use personal celebrity to draw in donors, Far-right candidates struggled in midterm election. The states recount threshold sits at 0.5% of the leading candidates total votes, approximately 783 votes. I appreciate numbers are important, but what about the emotional win?". While Frisch had led in the early vote counts, Boebert overtook her opponent with a razor-thin edge last Thursday. However, he cautioned that wont necessarily propel him to victory. Even so, her close race came as an unexpected bright spot for Democrats. With Republicans holding such a slim minority as well, the congresswomans voice might hold even more weight because the party will need her vote on contentious proposals. Report for America is a nonprofit national service program that places journalists in local newsrooms to report on undercovered issues. He said there could also be about 500 uniformed-overseas ballots to count in Pueblo County. GRAND JUNCTION Republican U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert's reelection bid in her GOP-leaning 3rd Congressional District made a startling comeback on Wednesday, cutting Democrat Adam Frisch's lead to about 60 votes. It never should have been this close, in this district, at this time, in this election.. State Sen. Don Coram has ended a month of speculation about whether the Montrose Republican would challenge U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert in this year's GOP primary. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Although Frisch repeatedly stressed his business acumen and desire to work with Democrats and Republicans alike, hell join a divided Congress rife with party politics, which will almost certainly make passing substantial legislation a challenge. Frischs victory on Tuesday likely relied on many of those disenchanted Republican voters casting their ballots against the congresswoman. Opinion: Colorado farms going fallow? She won51%-45% over her Democratic challengerand lost her home county by nearly 1,800 votes. . Because Colorado law requires a recount for any contest where the gap between the final two candidates is 0.5 percent or less, Colorado's 3rd district is likely headed for another round of tallying unless Boebert can break the threshold. Rep. Lauren Boebert, failed to get the same numbers. Cure efforts can include knocking on voters doors, calling them and more. A poll from that same firm released on Election Day showed that unaffiliated voters' support for Frisch had increased from an 8-point margin to a 25-point margin, according toColorado Politics. It takes a good days drive to cover Colorado, but well help you do it in a few minutes. Boebert also got a $413,000adboost from the campaign arm of the House Freedom Caucus, butno similar PACs bought their own ads for Frisch. But its likely the national party will also have to spend money to defend her seat, just as Democrats will have to put resources into her challenger if they want to have a chance of pulling off an upset. When former currency trader Adam Frisch from western Colorado looked atfar-right Republicans who won seats toCongress in 2020, he found something surprising: While many of them won their seats by 20 or more percentage points, his own,Rep. Lauren Boebert, failed to get the same numbers. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. CBS News estimated that the GOP will win at least 213 seats, compared to 206 for the Democrats, with 16 races still considered toss-ups. Instead, he's running against Boebert, the Silt Republican who toppled five-term incumbent . All are . Do you have information you want to share with HuffPost? The congresswoman received heavy criticism after claiming that women are weaker than men and need masculinity to balance out that so-called weakness. Democrat Adam Frisch, a candidate for Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, makes an appearance on the campus of the University of Colorado-Pueblo in Pueblo, Colorado in September. As of results posted at 7:57 p.m., Frisch, a Democrat from Aspen, had just barely kept ahead of Boebert, a Republican from Silt, 50.01%% to 49.99%, the secretary of states office reported. After midnight Tuesday, Frisch told The Denver Post he was both invigorated and tired, especially after an 11-day, 3,300-mile run through the district, which took him through 27 counties. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. As Senate Minority leader Mitch McConnell pointed out, candidate quality also matters. A statewide recount of the Secretary of State's primary this summer resulted in each candidate gaining just about a dozen votes. SAG Awards 2023 Red Carpet Fashion: See All the Looks, Rupert Murdoch Colluded With Jared Kushner to Try to Throw the 2020 Election to Trump Because Of Course He Did. Frisch said his attendance shouldnt be taken as him prejudging the result, just that he plans to hit the ground running should he end up the winner. Rian Johnson, Halle Berry, and More Share Their Inspiration, From the Archive:Who Stole the Oscars? In 2020, the 18th judicial district race automatically triggered a recount because it came down under the half-point threshold. It wears on people, on campaign staff, wears on the candidate because [its a] never-ending campaign. Our newsletters bring you a closer look at the stories that affect you and the music that inspires you. And Masket points out a presidential election year could be a better environment for Boebert when it comes to turnout. (2001), Listen toVFsLittle Gold MenPodcast for Unrivaled Awards-Season Coverage, 2023 Cond Nast. Republican strategist Tyler Sandberg pointed out Caraveo will also go into the 24 election with a congressional voting record. The competitiveness of Boebert's district shocked many. To revist this article, visit My Profile, then View saved stories. In a Friday statement shared with Newsweek, a spokesperson for the congresswoman said recounts in Colorado historically change the outcome "very little. Although the other seven districts have already been calledRepublicans held two seats, while Democrats held three and won the competitive, newly-drawn 8th districta return to Congress remains uncertain for Boebert. Republicans inch closer to the 218 seats that would give them control of the U.S. disappointing results for the GOP on Tuesday night. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. And again, it resonated with everybody on the right and the left and the center., Meanwhile, Boebert, a former owner of a Colorado restaurant that encouraged servers to openly carry firearms, has called on her supporters to keep the faith. Boebert has stirred up countless controversies in Congress; she seemingly attempted to bring a concealed handgun into the Capitol building, declared that she was tired of this separation of church and state junk, and promoted the anti-LGBTQ smear that the Left is grooming our kids.. + Theyre just as partisan as the people who say they are a Republican or Democrat, he said. President Trump was in office when the COVID virus was released from a lab in China," Boebert said in a spiel criticizing pandemic-era mask and vaccine mandates during a . . She was falsely accused of shooting her neighbors dogs and was dragged into a small-town drama in Silt after her husband confronted and frightened their neighbors. Editors note: This story is no longer being updated as of 10 a.m. Nov. 10. More coverage from the 3rd Congressional District: It quickly became clear on Election Night that hardline conservative Rep. Lauren Boebert would face a tougher-than-expected reelection race . Drop us a note at tips@coloradosun.com. Had national Democrats invested more in this race, it might not have helped Frisch because, No. People can also expect to see and hear more from incumbents and their challengers, as they get out in the districts to get to know and talk with voters, touting accomplishments or how theyd be different in Congress. Incumbents running for Congress raised more than twice as much as their challengers, according to an analysis by OpenSecrets, an organization that tracks money in politics. In closely watched Pueblo County, exhausted elections workers on Thursday were processing roughly 3,200 mail-in ballots and 1,800 in-person last-day ballots, said Gilbert Ortiz, the county clerk and recorder. It was the closest congressional race in the nation. But how strong that advantage will be will rest somewhat on how she performs in the office. In Eagle, Pitkin, and San Juan County, the Democrat leads with 71.7 percent, 79.2 percent and 79.5 percent of the vote, respectively. Above, then-congressional candidate Lauren Boebert addresses supporters during a campaign rally in Colona, Colorado on October 10, 2020. Read the latest news from Colorados 3rd Congressional District race between Rep. Lauren Boebert and Adam Frisch here. 2023 Colorado Public Radio. Frisch had sought to compel Republicans tired of Boebert's firebrand ways to cross party lines. RTD wants to ban riding trains and buses all day. The fact that Rupert Murdochs media empire has crowned Ron DeSantis as the new de facto leader of the GOP isnt helping either. The right-wing firebrand is in a race against Democrat Adam Frisch that could be decided by a razor-thin margin. And other deniers are in . And shes spread conspiracy theories and still strongly supports former President Donald Trump who endorsed her in this race even as he continues to spread falsehoods and misinformation about the 2020 presidential election. Frisch was expected to face long odds after redistricting made the already conservative district, which elected former President Donald Trump by a 15 point margin in 2016, more Republican. She sounded an upbeat note on her re-election chances on social media last week . The district is not only a Republican stronghold, but Boebert has become a national GOP star since being first elected four years ago. CD-3 has become nationalized already. 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