FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched Bengals' rebuild not yet complete To clinch a postseason spot, all they'll need to do is win in Cincinnati in Week 17. And then the Vikings suffer an upset loss to the Bears in the final week of the season, which allows Brock Purdy and the 49ers to swoop in for the No. Playoff Picture Through 15 Weeks 1 of 6 Aaron Doster/Associated Press AFC 1. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Reason for concern: In all likelihood, the Cowboys are going to have to win multiple road games to get to the Super Bowl. The Packers will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Lions. The Ravens also would get in if the Browns or Colts lose. -- Ben Baby, Where does Burrow rank among QBs in the fourth quarter? The Packers go on a five-game winning streak to close out the year with a 9-8 record -- finishing with a win over the Lions (while the Commanders lose to the Cowboys) to get into the postseason. The Chiefs clinched the 1-seed in the AFC with their win over the Raiders on Saturday, while the Philadelphia Eagles clinched the 1-seed in the NFC on Sunday with a win over the New York Giants. 2 seed was left ajar by the Vikings also stumbling against the Packers. "It's not Tom Brady. 1 seed in Week 17: After the Cowboys beat the Gardner Minshew-led Eagles in Week 16, there was very brief No. First-game outlook: The Chargers will play at Jacksonville on Saturday (8:15 p.m. More ESPN+ content , Reason for concern: If their offense isn't carrying the team, neither the defense nor special teams units have played well enough over the past month to keep the Dolphins competitive. http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine Also: Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? First-game outlook: The Bills will host the Dolphins in the wild-card round Sunday (1 p.m. Our NFL Nation reporters bring us the biggest keys to every game, a bold prediction for each matchup and, of course, final score picks.. Additionally, ESPN Stats & Information . Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. The Steelers snapped out of their extended funk at halftime of Sunday's game against the Colts, roaring back from a three-touchdown deficit to win and clinch the AFC North. Kansas City will host the lowest-seeded remaining wild card, which could be the Jaguars, Chargers, Ravens or Dolphins. Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 16 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. 1. 1 seed this week because of the Kansas City Chiefs' win over the Denver Broncos on Sunday. For football fans, the annual unveiling of ESPN's Playoff Machine is as much of a holiday as Christmas or Thanksgiving. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. Let's examine the final NFL playoff picture for the 2022 postseason. Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Honestly, if that left guard doesn't get beat [by Aaron Donald in the final minute] in the Super Bowl, I think they win. Win? Team's Playoff Path: Week 17 By Josh Katz and Kevin Quealy Jan. 2, 2022 Our detailed playoff trees for Week 18 are now available. 3. First-game outlook: The Buccaneers will host the Cowboys in a wild-card game on Monday, Jan. 16 (8:15 p.m. -- AFC player. NBA Playoff Picture: Eastern Conference. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, NFL playoff schedule: Chiefs beat Eagles in Super Bowl, Offseason guide for every NFL team: Draft outlook, key free agents, priorities and predictions, Ranking potential NFL head-coach openings from 7 to 1: The Colts need a lot of work, but one team is intriguing. 6. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 1.4%. Washington will win it if it beats the Eagles. Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? And yes, that means a sub-.500 team will officially win the division, one way or the other. The Packers, Cowboys, Rams, Buccaneers and Cardinals have all clinched postseason spots. Indianapolis Colts (10-5): Sunday's collapse in Pittsburgh leaves the Colts out of -- but not eliminated from -- the playoff picture, thanks to tiebreaker disadvantages to the Titans, Browns and Dolphins. "He's the focal point of their defense. The Browns' loss Sunday to the Jets was so, well, the Browns. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? The Patriots are eliminated from playoff contention after losing to the Bills. FPI chances to make playoffs: 75.3% Bosa deal will 'break the entire bank' Jaguars come back to steal AFC South crown: It wasn't pretty. First-game outlook: The Giants qualified for the playoffs for the first time since 2016 and will play at Minnesota in the wild-card round Sunday (4:30 p.m. Seven teams from each conference will make it to the postseason. Barnwell: How the Chiefs did it again The 2022 NFL season is only one week from wrapping up, which means the playoff picture is really taking shape. Quarterback Joe Burrow is playing at a high level. He's going to get catches, he's too good, too smart, but the idea is to limit damage, make them first downs, not touchdowns." -- NFC player. 5. Offensive tackles Donovan Smith and Tristan Wirfs are getting over foot and ankle injuries, respectively. The projected final standings will update regularly, and you can track the most interesting races and see how the playoff picture progresses as we move through the regular season's final weekend. Jacksonville, which is making its first playoff appearance since 2017, demolished the Chargers 38-10 at SoFi Stadium in Week 3. TB-ATL: Buccaneers 34, Falcons 17 Predicting Final 2022 Nfl Playoff Picture - Scores For . NFL and the NFL shield design are registered trademarks of the National Football League.The team names, logos and uniform designs are registered trademarks of the teams indicated. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? 13. After spending most of the season dealing with significant injuries, several key playmakers -- including edge rusher Joey Bosa -- have returned. Result: Lost 27-24 to the Minnesota Vikings and can't clinch a playoff berth this week. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. "He's elusive. 5, 51.8%. Top cornerback Carlton Davis hasn't practiced since suffering a shoulder injury in Week 16, cornerback Jamel Dean is nursing a big toe injury, safety Mike Edwards has been limited by a hip/hamstring injury, safety Logan Ryan has a knee injury and defensive tackle Vita Vea is dealing with a calf injury. Ravens The Niners have proven they can win slugfests, shootouts and everything in between, a valuable trait when entering the unpredictable postseason. 4 seed with its win over the Tennessee Titans. The pass rush has been better down the stretch, but here's the list of QBs the team faced in the final three games: Zach Wilson, Chris Streveler, Davis Mills, Jeff Driskel and Joshua Dobbs. There are some times where he's trying to make the big play instead of taking the checkdown. The Seahawks clinched the NFC West with Sunday's victory over the Rams. Jacksonville clinched the AFC South and the No. They're third in the NFL with a plus-9 turnover margin on drives that have started in the fourth quarter or overtime. And with a healthy Lamar Jackson back in the fray, this is no gimme for Cincinnati. Miami Dolphins (9-8) NFL playoff picture after Week 18: Lions knock out Packers, send Seahawks to final NFC wild-card berth. Super Bowl odds: +3500 Result: Defeated the Indianapolis Colts 20-3 to clinch a playoff berth. Washington Commanders (8-8-1) 3:41. Miami makes for a dangerous No. 3) Which of the five NFC teams that have secured playoff spots do you trust the least? It has happened only two other times in the Super Bowl era: the 2014 Panthers (7-8-1) and the 2010 Seahawks (7-9). Odds are via Caesars Sportsbook. Philadelphia has proved it can excel in a shootout thanks in large part to Hurts' development in the passing game, and if it needs to shift to a ground-based attack due to weather conditions or otherwise, it's more than capable. Buccaneers hang on to NFC South crown: A lot hinges on the Bucs' Week 17 contest with the Panthers. ET, ABC/ESPN/ESPN+). Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? His 77.8 QBR in Weeks 15-17 (vs. Washington, Minnesota, Indianapolis) was second best in the NFL during that span and helped the Giants clinch their first playoff berth since 2016. -- NFC player. -- Kevin Seifert, Is Justin Jefferson the best receiver in the NFL not on your team? Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? That also would have hurt Baltimore's chances to win the AFC North except the Bengals also lose in blowout fashion to the Bills, meaning that division comes down to Week 18. Kansas City clinched the 1-seed in the AFC with its win over the Las Vegas Raiders. 7, 35.9%. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Current AFC Playoff Picture *x clinched playoff berth, y clinched No. Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and the Cincinnati offense get it done, though, dropping . Reason for hope: The Dolphins' offense features two of the most explosive playmakers in the NFL in receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, both of whom can change a game with a single reception. I don't think it's a surprise at all. Hurts' potential contract extension Only 11 players on the active roster were born the last time the Cowboys won a road playoff game. Offensive line woes are a reason for that, as right guard Alex Cappa suffered a left ankle injury in the Week 18 win. New York Jets (7-10) Pittsburgh. LAR-SEA: Rams 23, Seahawks 16 The Philadelphia Eagles fell short of clinching the NFC East and home-field advantage, losing to the visiting New Orleans Saints. Reason for hope: The Vikings have won all 11 of their games this season that have been decided by one score, an NFL record. Minnesota Vikings (12-5) Ultimately, they won when Falcons Pro Bowl kicker Younghoe Koo missed what would have been a game-tying 39-yard field goal with 9 seconds remaining. That sets up the Cowboys against the 49ers in the NFC Championship Game, while the Bills and Chiefs square off in an AFC Championship Game of two heavyweights. The No. 3, 80.9%. Here are the current standings in the East, with the bottom four seeds lining up for the Play-In Tournament. 1. But within those games, the Vikings have displayed a high-end situational mastery that suggests they are confident and skilled in the small ways that postseason games are often decided. "Turnovers. First-game outlook: The Cowboys will play at the Buccaneers in the wild-card round Monday, Jan. 16 (8:15 p.m. So just an all-around good linebacker." Reset Week Randomize Week Want to predict just the Playoffs? To close out the campaign, the Texans and Bears win twice, the Broncos win once and the Cardinals lose twice -- which improbably results in Arizona taking that top pick. They've got a lot of weapons with [Stefon] Diggs and guys like that." Super Bowl LVI: Rams 23, Bengals 20 How . 5,899, which yields the chalk playoff field. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 49.8%. The Seahawks will clinch a playoff spot with a victory over the Rams and a Packers loss to the Lions. Nfl Playoff Picture 2021 - Week 17 Standings, Bracket, Clinching. Playoff probabilities are updated as the games progress, based on ESPN Analytics' live win probabilities and its NFL Football Power Index projections. FPI chances to make playoffs: 59.7% Bills secure top seed in AFC: Buffalo entered the final two weeks in control of its own destiny for the No. 16. When he's in the backfield, he can obviously catch, he can run the ball, so you just don't know what they're gonna do and it's hard to defend a back like that. Seattle clinches playoff spot with win over the Los Angeles Rams and the Packers' loss to the Lions. IND-NYG: Giants 34, Colts 0 FPI chances to make playoffs: 87.3% Week 18: at Buffalo Bills Here's the updated AFC playoff picture after the Week 10 games. FPI chances to win division: Clinched NFL 2022 - 2023 Season - NFL - Playoff Predictors Schools Details: WebPlayoff Predictors is a suite of playoff machines that allows you to pick every game of the season (up to the championship), and will correctly rank teams according to the league's espn nfl playoff picture Verified 4 days ago 2, 68.9%, How did the Rams come back? Well, it's just one simulation, but we can tell you how it plays out in World No. Week 18 saw the Bucs suffer injuries to center Robert Hainsey (hamstring), tight end Kyle Rudolph (knee) and safety Keanu Neal (hip). MIA-NE: Patriots 13, Dolphins 10 Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Tennessee Titans (7-10) ET, NBC). With an Eagles' win, the 49ers are the No. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 2.7%. "That's the same thing as Lamar [Jackson]. NFL Playoff Predictor (NFL Season Picker) lets you pick every game of the NFL 2022 - 2023 Season NFL Season via a season Schedule, and will show you the . Facebook; Twitter; Facebook Messenger; Pinterest; Email; print; The Week 18 NFL schedule for the 2021 season is stacked with great matchups, and we got you covered with what you need to know heading into the weekend. Our bracket is still intact, and our final four and Super Bowl. Scores: Week 17 | Week 18 Here is the current playoff picture for Week 18 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Check out. Tennessee Titans, 6-3 (AFC South leader) 4. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. 17 64 Related Topics NFL Professional football Professional sport Football Sports 64 comments Best Add a Comment OG_Bill_Brasky Browns 3 mo. However, the race to the playoffs continues as top teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 17. CLE-WSH: Commanders 41, Browns 10 That might not sound like a lot, but it's a fairly high probability for an exact hit; both numbers are higher than when we did this exercise last season. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. 5 seed. Let's break down the state of the race following the 15thand longestweek of the 2021 NFL campaign. You just don't know. Carolina Panthers (6-11) (5) Chargers at (4) Jaguars Best fits for top 50 NFL free agents The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. 1 seed, z clinched division 1. y Tennessee Titans (12-5) 2. z Kansas City Chiefs (12-5) 3. z Buffalo Bills (11-6) 4. z Cincinnati Bengals (10-7) 5. x Las Vegas Raiders (10-7) The ESPN Analytics team's live playoff probabilities -- which combine live in-game win probabilities with our Football Power Index (FPI) season projections -- will provide each team's playoff chances throughout the Week 18 slate. In two playoff games last season, Allen threw nine touchdown passes to zero interceptions and threw for more than 600 yards. Playoff Predictors is a suite of playoff machines that allows you to pick every game of the season (up to the championship), and will correctly rank teams according to the league's rules. The Bills cannot clinch the AFC's No. -- Jordan Raanan, What is most difficult about defending running back Saquon Barkley? 1. The defense has been one of the top units in the league all season, despite a couple of hiccups, but the offense has pulled its share of the weight since running back Christian McCaffrey came aboard in October. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 teams making . Denver Broncos (5-12) Everything is on the table. If Purdy can clear that relatively low bar, the Niners should be fine. . 3. But the Eagles put that to rest quickly, taking down the Saints decisively in Week 17 to sew up the top spot and ensure some rest before the playoffs. Final standings: AFC | NFC, DAL-TEN: Cowboys 16, Titans 13 Detroit Lions (7-10) See our live NFL playoff probabilities, including the projected top seven teams in each conference. Dallas comes through again, while Buffalo gets its vengeance over Kansas City for the past two postseasons. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. That, plus a defense that leads the league in passing defense (179.8 yards allowed per game) and sacks (70) is a good recipe for postseason success. The first year of the NFL's expanded playoffs has left us with seven postseason spots still in play as Week 17 approaches. Get exclusive access to more than 3,000 premium articles a year from top writers. Baltimore Ravens (10-5). Seattle Seahawks (8-9) But the thing about a 3% chance? Houston Texans (4-12-1) And who fell just short of the postseason? FPI chances to make playoffs: Clinched Jaguars vs. 5. A deep playoff run would be just as unexpected, but Geno Smith & Co. have shown flashes of being a good team during their up-and-down season. If he isn't, the Dolphins will start either seventh-round rookie Skylar Thompson or veteran backup Teddy Bridgewater in the wild-card round. -- NFC player. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? Nfl Playoff Picture 2021 - Week 17 Standings, Bracket, Clinching. Los Angeles Chargers (10-7) 4 seeds, the Rams and the Bengals, went to the Super Bowl. And while they've shown improvement in that area of late, that's come against teams that don't have strong run games. Bengals vs. 6. First-game outlook: The Bengals get a rematch with the Ravens, whom they just vanquished, as Cincinnati will host Baltimore in the wild-card round on Sunday (8:15 p.m. The Packers weren't able to clinch the NFC's top spot, despite Sunday night's victory over the Titans, because both the Saints and Seahawks won in Week 16. Now the question is whether they'll be able to leapfrog the Packers for the No. Can the Lions fix their defense? It also helped shake up the NFC playoff race for the 2020 season. DET-GB: Packers 37, Lions 10 New York Giants (5-10): Similarly, the Giants can win the NFC East if they beat the Cowboys in Week 17 and Washington loses to the Eagles. Check out the entire experience here, as we track the NFC and AFC playoff races in Week 18. Kansas City Chiefs, 7-2 (AFC West leader) 2. 1 overall selection entering the final two weeks of play, but that's precisely what happens in this simulation. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. Box score | Full team stats , Reason for concern: Inconsistency on offense. NFL Playoff Bracket 2022: Updated Picture, Schedule After Saturday's Wild Card Kristopher Knox January 15, 2022 Andy Lyons/Getty Images The NFL's Super Wild Card Weekend kicked off with. "He's showing more poise. Jan 8. 3, 68.2%. Buffalo Bills (14-3) Playoff Machine That makes coming up with the blocking scheme more challenging when they have a solid rusher coming from each side. 4. 3. DeMar DeRozan missed half of those losses but is now back and rolling . The Bucs opened the season by defeating the Cowboys 19-3 on the road in Week 1 and Brady is undefeated (7-0) against Dallas in his career. With an Eagles' win, the Cowboys are the No. 5,899. New York Jets, 6-3 (First Wild Card) 6. The 2022 NFL season came down to the end once again, as the Lions' victory over the Packers at Lambeau Field on Sunday night sent the Seahawks to the playoffs. Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. ARI-ATL: Falcons 22, Cardinals 21 9. 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