Visit SportsLine now to see Barrett Sallee's college football best bets, all from one of the top analysts in the nation who has crushed his picks for SportsLine. 19 Wisconsin. Since October 2017, Connecticut is 1-38 against FBS opponents. Throw in the fact that UTSA nearly knocked off then-No. Michigan State has lost its past three games against Pac-12 opponents, but it breaks the trend here. UCF at Louisville Fiu Early Guess: UCF -4.5 Actual Line: UCF -9. And Tennessee can score in bunches. 12 BYU. In fact, they have a three-game losing streak against the FCS if you go back to a 45-20 loss to Southern Illinois in 2019. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, at Even with J.J. McCarthy leading an improved attack, the Wolverines dont deserve the Alabama treatment just yet. The Sooners travel to Nebraska, where interim coach Mickey Joseph takes over for the remainder of the season. As of Tuesday,coach Lane Kiffin had not named a starter. Though that might not be the case Saturday. No. So what college football picks can you make with confidence? And even if Alabama had destroyed Texas last week, Louisiana-Monroe was never going to be a trap. at And Missouri isn't even good. We don't expect the Tide to be in danger of losing this weekend, but there are long-term questions surrounding the program at the moment. The cumulative score was 366-36. 2 Ohio State in the opening week of the season, but that feels like a distant memory after the Fighting Irish lost that game . 15-for-16, 259 yards, three touchdowns) will be Michigan's quarterback going forward. 1 Georgia at South Carolina Sat., Sept. 17 | 12 p.m. | ESPN Prediction: Georgia. 12 Notre Dame (-7.5) covers against Purdue at 2:30 p.m. Probably not. Meanwhile, Washington has allowed 26 points to Kent State and Portland State, but this will also be the first real challenge for the Huskies in 2022. Likeliest FCS Victory: North Dakota State at Arizona, 11 p.m. on FS1. Even if he has a decent night, the Longhorns offense (even with Hudson Card replacing the injured Quinn Ewers at quarterback) should have a field day against a defense that just allowed Army to rack up at least 215 passing yards (304, actually) for the first time since 2007. Rather, Oklahoma is going to put a hurtin' on this terrible defense. These teams haven't played since the 2006 Las Vegas Bowl. Probably better than it has been in recent years, given a win over San Diego State and a not-that-lopsided loss to Mississippi State, but still not great. 12 BYU hosts No. The Aztecs wont replicate their triple-overtime upset of last year over the Utes, but Brady Hokes defense the best in the Mountain West last season remains strong enough to limit the damage. Get his best college football tips now. Payton Thornes turnover problems wont improve in his toughest test of the year and without Kenneth Walker III to bail him out anymore. That likely doesn't bode well for the Gamecocks, who have lost three straight home games in this series, and will be without defensive starters linebackers Jordan Strachan and Mo Kaba, who each suffered a season-ending ACL injury last week. Prediction: Arkansas 52, Missouri State 17, No. They trampled Tennessee Tech in Week 1 before pulling off the extremely rare 13-point overtime victory at West Virginia. 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Prediction: Kentucky 38, Youngstown State 7, No. No. Head here to see every pick. Pick: Oklahoma wins 38-24 and COVERS the spread. OK, too soon. Top Week 3 college football predictions One of the top college football picks the model is recommending for Week 3: No. 12 Florida to 29 points. Pick: Florida wins 47-24 and FAILS TO COVER the spread. If he's out for this trip to Kalamazoo, maybe Western Michigan will pull off the upset. Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Despite last weekend's defeat, Baylor's defense has been pretty strong early on, especially while allowing just 170 yards against the run. 8 Oklahoma State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 7 p.m. on ESPN+/Big 12 Network. Notre Dame was expected to be a College Football Playoff contender this season, while Cal was picked to finish near the bottom of the Pac-12. 25 Oregon (-3.5) vs. No. Washington is improved with Michael Penix Jr. at quarterback. The former Sooner threw for 376 yards against Arkansas. The Irish held their own in a season-opening loss at Ohio State and actually came away from that game smelling like a contender, but a subsequent home loss to Marshall was equal parts humbling and troubling. It appears J.J. McCarthy(15-for-16, 259 yards, three touchdowns) will be Michigan's quarterback going forward. Each other section is presented in chronological order of kickoff time. No. They've allowed 24 points. Welcome to College Football News's European Union Experience. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. Then again, those games were against FCS Austin Peay and quite possibly this season's worst FBS team (Hawaii), so we probably shouldn't get too excited. College Football Expert Picks, Predictions: Week 3 7. Tyler Van Dyke has completed 73.3 percent of his passes through two games, and that efficiency travels. The Cougars' schedule is ridiculous. The Rebels have been excellent on the ground as well, ranking No. No. Pitt quarterbacks Kedon Slovis and Nick Patti also are nursing injuries. Week 3 provides plenty of opportunities for value plays. It's tough to know what to make of Pitt this week with the health of Kedon Slovis up in the air. Zack Pearson, TarHeelswire.com Florida State The change in venue is maybe worth a few points in the Tigers' favor, but it won't alter the fact that they are in dire straits at quarterback. All times Eastern. Expert picks, predictions for Penn State vs. Auburn on the Week 3 college football schedule. No. You'll get: Updated September 17, 2022 Prediction: Indiana 28, Western Kentucky 24, California at Notre Dame, 2:30 p.m. on NBC. 13 Miami. However, both could see time against UConn, which allowed 79 points in its two FBS losses to Utah State and Syracuse. The defense might be good, but the offense stinks out loud. However, that's almost secondary toBobby Petrino's return to Arkansas, where he was fired following a motorcycle accident that opened the door to more controversy 10 years ago. blue whale: let us keep it PAC 12 22 Auburn on Saturday night. 24 Texas A&M vs. No. Kentucky rushed 64 times for 120 yards against Miami (Ohio) and Florida and ranks 127th in the nation in yards per carry. Texas Tech beat then-No. SportsLine's model gives Cincinnati the edge, as the Bearcats cover this number in almost 60 percent of simulations. 15 Tennessee vs. Akron, 7 p.m. on ESPN+. The Yellow Jackets 120th-ranked offense isnt equipped to keep pace with the second-fastest offense in the land. Ohio State plays another MAC opponent in a prime-time game at Ohio Stadium. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. The top five teams in the country are all heavy favorites during the Week 3 college football schedule. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The Demon Deacons average 44.5 points per game, and Sam Hartman threw four TDs and averaged 11.4 yards per attempt in his return in Week 2. Under new head coach Kalen DeBoer and with transfer quarterback Michael Penix Jr., Washington has gotten out to an impressive start, averaging 571 yards and 48.5 points per game. 6 Oklahoma travels to Nebraska in the Big. If Kansas has figured something out on offense and it hasn't just been a two-week fluke, it will be able to move the ball. No. In its season opener against Missouri, Louisiana Tech rushed for eight yards while giving up 52 points and 558 yards. College football's Week 3 slate for the 2021 season features 73 games, and our NCAA experts are ready with their predictions and picks. If you haven't already ripped up your Richardson Heisman ticket, you will enjoy this game. Kansas can record its first 3-0 start to a season since 2009 if it pulls off an upset at Houston on Saturday afternoon during the Week 3 college football schedule. In the FCS/FBS. Over the final six games last season, Miami's Tyler Van Dyke averaged 365.7 passing yards and 3.3 passing touchdowns. This one has "Bryce Young throws five touchdowns before halftime and gets the rest of the afternoon off" written all over it. This year, Sean Clifford (495 passing yards, five touchdowns, and one interception) will put his early season success to the test against an Auburn program that believes coach Bryan Harsin is still the right man for the job, and has allowed 16 points in each of its first two contests. Tyler Nettuno, LSUTigerswire.com Florida State That should mean we see a fair amount of freshman Cade Klubnik at quarterback for Clemson as he tries to do to DJ Uiagalelei what Trevor Lawrence did to Kelly Bryant in 2018. Jeremy Mauss, MWwire.com Florida State It certainly wont faze Nittany Lions senior quarterback Sean Clifford, who threw for 280 yards and two touchdowns last year in a win over Auburn. Kevin McGuire, NittanyLionsWire.com: Florida State* section: | slug: college-football-odds-picks-predictions-for-week-3-2022-computer-simulation-likes-ole-miss-notre-dame | sport: collegefootball | route: article_single.us | I'm more curious to find out if Texas A&M can solve its rushing woes against what has been an excellent front seven. Louisiana Tech put up 24 points in a 28-point loss at Missouri to open its season, but the task is far greater this weekend at Death Valley. The Cardinals' dual-threat quarterback had at least 260 passing yards and two passing touchdowns in all three of those games, but Florida State won the one when it sacked Cunningham six times. The Fighting Irish have been through a pair of tests to open the season, but they have managed a 2-0 record. Purdue at Syracuse | Georgia at South Carolina The Wildcats started 2-0 last season, then trailed in the fourth quarter before beating perennial FCS power Chattanooga 28-23 in Week 3. Oregon is looking to extend its 20-game home winning streak, while BYU is coming off a double-overtime win against then-No. Devon Achane was great over the past two seasons as sort of the lightning to Isaiah Spiller's thunder, but can the sprinter handle the workload of a lead back? College Capper: Week 3 College Football Picks . And it's not like Houston has been even moderately good on defense, allowing at least 33 points and 440 yards against UTSA and Texas Tech. College football picks, predictions against the spread for Week 3 Top 25 games, Ranking Nebraska's 10 best candidates to replace Scott Frost. and i shoulda played the trees. If he has a similar performance and Payton Thorne tries to keep pace against the Huskies secondary, advantage Washington. Since the beginning of 2011, the Bison are 151-12, including 5-0 against FBS opponents. The prime-time matchup is No. So, perhaps Clemson's Will Shipley (20 carries, 110 rushing yards, four touchdowns) could be in for a big day. Florida State at Louisville, 7:30 p.m. Friday on ESPN. Consider this to be one of the more intriguing matchups of Week 3. No. E, CFN Florida State This is the first time these programs have met since 2006 and at Eugene since the Ducks' 32-16 victory in 1990. However, USC's defense still has some kinks, and Fresno's Jake Haener (65-for-87, 737 passing yards, three touchdowns) might be the best Group of Five quarterback in the country. The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. Put this game in the same time slot Saturday, and I couldn't care less about it. He was 0-11 in contests decided by single digits since the start of last season, and a home loss to Georgia Southern was the final straw. There is not much worse than facing Alabama the week after it gets humbled. Well, considering Richardson went 3-for-3 for 152 yards and two touchdowns with four carries for 115 yards and another score last year against USF, and considering the Bulls allowed 50 points and more than 300 rushing yards in their season opener against BYU, I am inclined to assume the former. Ohio State has allowed just one touchdown, and it is going to cause all sorts of problems for whatcredit where it's duehas been a solid running game since 2011. 22 Penn State at Auburn, 3:30 p.m. on CBS. South Florida is 10-8 ATS as an underdog under coach Jeff Scott, and there is a bit of a hangover risk here for the Gators. Pick: USC wins 42-27 and COVERS the spread. College Football Picks. Pick: Oregon wins 31-24 and COVERS the spread. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: collegefootball | pageType: stories | College football's Week 3 slate for the 2022 season features 72 games, and our NCAA experts are ready with their predictions and picks. Florida St at Louisville | Air Force at Wyoming Our predictions for each game are broken into four sections: Top 25 teams, best games between unranked teams, FCS teams against unranked FBS team and the rest of the slate. I agree to receive the "CBS Sports HQ Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. Neither did the Pitt offense. Id like to see Haynes King play well at least one time before backing the perennially overrated Aggies. 8 Cincinnati (at Indiana ), No. Will Florida get the version of Anthony Richardson who ran all over Utah or the one who threw two back-breaking interceptions and was limited to just four rushing yards against Kentucky? This spread just seems way too high. Week 3 college football schedule: Texas A&M vs. Miami Football Power Index is predicting a second loss for the Aggies, as Miami has the slight 53.6 percent chance to defeat Texas A&M on the road. Or, more importantly, can Fresno State do anything to slow down the runaway freight train that is the USC offense? So what college football picks can you make with confidence? It will be fascinating to find out if they will. This will be the Spartans' first true test of the season, and quarterback Payton Thorne is completing just 57.7 percent of his. 25 Oregon on Saturday afternoon. It expects the Fighting Irish to win this game by double digits, as they are covering the spread in almost 60 percent of simulations. Prediction: Louisville 23, Florida State 20, Western Kentucky at Indiana, Noon on Big Ten Network. We're into Week 3 of the college football season and plenty of unexpected storylines are already brewing. Translation: The margin of victory here is whatever Oklahoma State wants it to be. And not one of those games was against a Top 25 opponent. They have a chance to turn heads on Saturday afternoon in Bloomington. Listening to these Wildcats, though, they won't take anything for granted. Copyright 2023 YB Media, LLC. Every week throughout the season we'll give you a college football viewing guide by highlighting the five best games of the coming weekend. The Week 3 slate begins on Friday night with Florida State . Pick: Pitt wins 38-24 and COVERS the spread. No. Cal at Notre Dame | BYU at Oregon The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 3 college football schedule, and it's calling for a Top 25 favorite to go down hard. We had to temper expectations for Wake Forest when it was announced in the preseason that he would be out indefinitely, but it seems like it's time to start thinking about this as one of the nation's top offenses again. The Bears are 8-0 all-time against Texas State, a university that sits roughly 130 miles from the Baylor campus. One of the top college football picks the model is recommending for Week 3: No. This week, the show continues at Oregon. 13 Iowa in 2016, but it should be just like riding a bicycle for North Dakota State. SportsLine's model has Ole Miss running backs Zach Evans, Ulysses Bentley IV and Quinshon Judkins combining for more than 250 rushing yards on Saturday, while quarterback Jaxson Dart is throwing for almost 330 yards in the latest simulations. Pick: N.C. State wins 38-30 but FAILS TO COVER the spread. Nebraska is trying to quickly regroup after losing to Georgia Southern as a 23.5-point favorite last week, which resulted in head coach Scott Frost getting fired. All Rights Reserved. And without much fear of getting beat over the top, Penn State can focus on stopping Tank Bigsby and Jarquez Hunter and escaping with a W. No. 16 NC State vs. Texas Tech, 7 p.m. on ESPN2. Join NV to preview and predict the entire NFL Week 16 slate (0:34). But if the Texas defense could limit Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young to 77 passing yards and two rushing yards through the first 48 minutes of last week's near upset of Alabama, surely it can slow down Harris, right? Is the Spartans secondary actually better than it was last season, though, or do its early numbers just look good because of the competition? 9 Kentucky vs. Youngstown State, Noon on SEC Network. Granted, it played Kent State and Portland State, but for an offense that eclipsed 31 points just once in 2021, not too shabby. Wake Forest can't afford to look ahead to Clemson here. Anyone who has followed it. A three-point win over then-No. Petrino has rebounded to build Missouri State into a top-five FCS program, but he likely won't receive a warm welcome back to Fayetteville, thus providing plenty of intrigue. 22 Tigers. That ground game got rolling in the second half against the Gators, though, and I suspect the flood gates will open while the defense tries to pitch its first shutout since 2009. Oklahoma struggled to a 23-16 home win against Nebraska last season, but we don't see it being that close again. And which college football picks need to be part of your parlays? See which other teams the model likes here. Week 3 college football picks, bold predictions led by the Alabama-Florida showdown USA TODAY 0:00 0:54 Alabama has already passed one test against a school from the Sunshine State with flying. Prediction: Washington 31, Michigan State 27, No. Which college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 3, and which Top 25 favorite goes down hard? 14 Utah vs. San Diego State, 10 p.m. on ESPN2. College Football Week 3 Lines . Arizona is the first FBS foe to dare face mighty NDSU since the Bison upset No. Eastern Mich at Arizona St |Results So Far Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,400 in profit over the past six-plus seasons, and find out. They should move the ball against a USC defense that allowed 33 first downs to a not-offensively-elite Stanford. No. The Western Kentucky offense isn't as prolific as it was last year when Bailey Zappe was running the show, but with another FCS quarterback (Austin Reed from West Florida), the Hilltoppers can still score in bunches, averaging 43.5 points in the early going. SportsLine's model believes the loss to Marshall has created value on the Fighting Irish as 12-point favorites this week, as they are covering the spread in more than 50% of the latest simulations. But after making mincemeat of Long Island and Massachusetts, the Rockets are about to increase the difficulty level. This line has plummeted down to six points, a sign of a lack of confidence in the Aggies after their loss to the Mountaineers. But, this time around, the series shifts to Salt Lake City, where Utah has won 27 consecutive games against non-conference opponents. Michigan is averaging 53.5 points per game and J.J. McCarthy has won the starting job, but they have allowed a fourth-quarter TD each of the past two weeks. 22 Penn State travels to Auburn in a matchup between 2-0 teams. The Cornhuskers and their incomprehensibly loyal fans, who have sold out Memorial Stadium for every game since 1962 are clearly going to be fired up after the firing of head coach Scott Frost. The Crimson Tides 55-0 rout of Utah State in Week 1 is a taste of whats to come, following the near-upset at Texas last week. Then again, the Panthers haven't exactly been unstoppable thus far. 21 Texas vs. UTSA, 8 p.m. on Longhorn Network. The Huskers' defense allows 31.0 points per game, which isn't going to be good enough against an old Big 12 rival. Plus, other interesting matchups. Mississippi State scores at least four touchdowns, and LSU can't keep pace. Remember when Nebraska fired Bo Pelini because it was tired of going 9-4 every season, and then things immediately got so much worse? The Red Raiders are 2-0 under new coach Joey McGuire. Nick Shepkowski, FightingIrishWire.com: Louisville So what are Week 3's top candidates, you might wonder? The Ducks did bounce back with a 70-14 win over Eastern Washington, but that didn't erase the troubles of the first game. In the past decade, however, the Wildcats have six wins against FCS opponents by 31 points or more. Dont expect Marcus Freeman to lose his first four games as coach of the Fighting Irish, but losing starting quarterback Tyler Buchner to injury will cause even more problems for an offense that ranks 104th in the nation. That doesn't bode well since the Ole Miss defense has allowed just one touchdown. Red Raiders are 2-0 under new coach Joey McGuire PAC 12 22 Auburn on the ground as,. Country are all heavy favorites during the Week 3: No 3: No followed., Noon on Big Ten Network gets the rest of the first foe... 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Sat., Sept. 17 | 12 p.m. | ESPN prediction: Louisville so what are Week 3 No. With confidence Tech, 7 p.m. on ESPN+ and Nick Patti also are nursing injuries and... On CBS Michael Penix Jr. at quarterback is whatever Oklahoma State wants it to be decade. Out anymore Week 1 before pulling off the upset so what college football season and plenty unexpected... Points or more has a similar performance and payton Thorne tries to keep pace against Huskies... Open the season, Miami 's tyler Van Dyke has completed 73.3 of! Coach Mickey Joseph takes over for the remainder of the more intriguing matchups of Week slate! 31, Michigan State 27, No 27, No against the Huskies secondary, advantage Washington to preview predict... 'S top candidates, you will enjoy this game in the fact that UTSA nearly knocked off then-No they. Arkansas 52, Missouri State 17, No also are nursing injuries at Ohio Stadium will enjoy this in. Or, more importantly, can Fresno State do anything to slow the! 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Against Pac-12 opponents, but it should be just like riding a bicycle for North Dakota State at Auburn 3:30. Isnt equipped to keep pace with the second-fastest offense in the country are all heavy favorites during the 3... The trend here 's tyler Van Dyke has completed 73.3 percent of his passes through two games and! At Arizona, 11 p.m. on ESPN+: Pitt wins 38-24 and COVERS the..