Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. The question would be whether Labor preferences would flow to the Greens at the same rate as Green preferences flow to Labor. In 2018, I pledged to work toward a healthy Indian River Lagoon. One more boundary that should change though id the southern one with Goldstein: Glenhuntly Road. But Labor will win majority government, Labor will hold this. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. Im not saying that the Greens will win (I do think its close to 50/50 though), but youre wrong about two things: 1. Labor won a large 70.2% majority of the two-party-preferred vote in St Kilda, 55% in Caulfield and 57.5% in Port Melbourne. See ships at Port Phillip Heads: Arrivals - subtract 3.5 hours from ETA. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. That the Liberals cant get into first place, because they are actually already on first place in the current 3CP count, AND on top of that, the current rates of absents, prepolls and the last batch of postals all have the Liberals outperforming Labor after minor preferences; 2. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. He served as Deputy Prime Minister for the last four months of the Whitlam government, and retired in 1977. Long post I know, but in short the Liberals are already ahead of Labor on 3CP terms, and if vote continue to break exactly as they have been, they grow their lead while the Greens continue to catch up. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. If Labour end up not winning Macnamara, it will be a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. The Greens initially profited from the demise of the Australian Democrats, but increases since have come at the expense of Labor. the Sex party candidate, in the top preference slot, ahead of Steven Armstrong of the Stable Population party and Margaret Quinn of the Rise Up . There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. My last 3CP calculation had the Greens 422 preferences ahead of Labour at the final 3CP count in Macnamara. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . I think Albo will be popular come 2025 but Joshs failure to change mental health policy will be damaging in such a progressive seat such as Macnamara. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. ALP 30,499 3. Four incumbents Mayor Paul Alfrey,District 1 Council Member Tim Thomas,District 3 Council Member Yvonne Minus andDistrict 5 Council Member Mimi Hanley are not on the ballot this fall. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Burns previously worked as Chief of Staff for the MP he succeeded in 2019, Michael Danby. [1] It also had a large gay and lesbian community. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. He has previously worked as a teacher's aide and a factory hand, and before the 2019 election was a Senior Adviser to the Premier of Victoria, Daniel Andrews. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. Damches has a bachelor's degree in International Relations and worked in retail and fashion before working as a legal assistant. To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. Outreach and communication: Create channels of communication with residents and local businesses to understand and address concerns, engage residents in civic opportunities, and work together to proactively plan for our citys future. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Please enable scripts and reload this page. Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. I support the use of all available tools, including fee-based programs that would be paid for by polluters, but could result in significant savings for our citizens, like septic system improvements, odor controland enhanced water testing. I think the true boundary here is Hotham street which separates Port Phillip from Glen Eira.. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. The only way that I cant see Labor winning here is if all the cards fall the right way for the Greens and that doesnt often happen. Every pollster, except Resolve Strategic, overestimated Labour support and Essential correctly called L/NP support. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] That is a real possibility if they do well. This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. Considering that, I still think Labor are the best position to win and probably will. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. She recently resigned from the office of Senator Hon Jane Hume. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. It was replaced by the division of Macnamara which had almost identical boundaries. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. Harkin undertook secondary schooling was at Presentation College, Windsor, where she was an avid debater and State finals speaker). ReD Being second to Labour merely guarantees a Labour win. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link. In 2013, the Liberal Party reversed its policy on preference recommendations and advocated Liberal voters put Labor ahead of the Greens. Education:Bachelorof Science in criminal justice from Florida Gulf Coast University, Political/government/civic experience:Member of the Melbourne Citizens' Advisory Board, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: allred4d2.com; Facebook: ShawnAllred Middleton for Melbourne City Council. Where possible, the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be restored. During this period it was held by only five members, all men, most notably Jack Holloway, a minister who served under John Curtin and Ben Chifley; Frank Crean, Treasurer and then Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam Government; and Clyde Holding, a minister in the Hawke Government who prior to switching to federal politics had served as Victorian Opposition Leader from 1967 to 1977. In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. Labor need the remaining votes to actually break stronger for them compared to the Libs than they have, to get in front of them. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s Lots of renters and young people. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Labor will emphatically opposite it. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. Occupation: Founder and owner of Plastics & Paper Direct, Education: Attended Brevard Community College, Political/government/civic experience:2003-04 Melbourne Zoning Board of Adjustment;2004-05 Melbourne Airport Authority;Space Coast League of Cities representative to Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization;2004-12 Melbourne Council Member District2 (vice mayor in 2006 and2010);2013 Brevard CountyCitizens Advisory Board;2018-22 Melbourne City Council Member District 2, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: Website under construction. Results 1983-2019. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. Twitter: @JDGallop. At first glance that looks like Labor would outperform the Liberals right? Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). Macnamara is the new name adopted for the seat known since Federation as Melbourne Ports. Florida 2022 elections. Patreons analysis is on the money and there could actually be up to 6500 votes left if more postals are received (the last batch actually did break 26 LIB, 29 ALP, 33 GRN, 12 OTH which is enough to keep the Liberals ahead of Labor). She taught in a variety of schools, both primary and secondary, and worked as an education consultant both here and in Japan. Either way, the boost in Labor support at the expense of the Liberal Party in 2019 boosts Josh Burns' prospects of holding Macnamara in 2022 against both his political opponents. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. LIB 30,636 2. On paper the final boundaries have minimal impact on Labor's margin, nudging it down a percentage from 6.2% to 4.9%. Heres a summary of the current state of play. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. The city of more than 28,000. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Labor would have still won since they still hold Albert Park by a 11% margin compared to the Libs 2% margin in Caufield though there was a 2% swing to the Libs in both seats against expectations the Lib vote would further collapse in that area like in the federal election. [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. Holloway was secretary of the Melbourne Trades Hall Council, who had stood against Bruce in protest at the government's arbitration policies. The Greens still got the increase in the vote with the independent running and as seen on the VEC website, most Independent voters put the Greens above Labor and Liberals. Please enable scripts and reload this page. The exclusion of the Green then elected Michael Danby with 51.4% of the two-party preferred vote. The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteranWilliam Johnson, who sits on the citys Board of Adjustments. Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne city councilwoman since November 2009 and current deputy mayor, Chairman of the Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization since 2019, Member and current vice chair, Brevard County Tourist Development Council since 2018, 2021 president of the Space Coast League of Cities, Board member of the Metropolitan Planning Organization and board member of theMetropolitan Planning Organization Advisory Council, Board member of the Florida League of Cities Land Use and Economic Development, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: I dont have a specific Facebook page for my campaign. Theyare elected by citywide vote, serve four-year terms, andrepresentadistrict of the city. Greens 32.84% (30,555). Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. He represented workers and their unions while a partner at Slater and Gordon, holding a position with the firm previously held by Julia Gillard. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.). I dont agree, Pollbludger called this for Labor actually I just checked. Port Melbourne - at 13 February 2023. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. Redistribution Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. 2018 State Election: A Meet the Candidates for the lower house seat of Albert Park was held at 6pm, on Tuesday, 30th October in the Boyd Community Hub. The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. 100% agree. Canadian airline coming: Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, New police headquarters: Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Occupation:Realtor, private investigator, process server, notary, Education:Course study of sociology, with a concentration in forensic psychology, at Massachusetts College of Liberal Arts, Political/government/civic experience:911 dispatcher; Space Coast Young Republicans; NAACP Legal Redress Team; attends Melbourne Police Community Relations Council meetings; 18th District process server, Campaign email:rachael4melbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:rachael4melbourne.com;Facebook: Rachael Bassett for Melbourne City Council. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. When comparing Greens and Labor. West of Hotham, St Kilda East and Balaclava retain the same urban feeling that the eastern triangle of St Kilda (between the highway and Chapel) and Windsor have: Almost entirely a mix of 3-storey walkup blocks of flats and single fronted terraces, no nature strips, etc. Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. i do agree that Georgia Drawbridge is a quasi teal and many of her preferences went to Teal. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. . Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. He grew up in Melbourne's western suburbs delivering newspapers to help his working-class family with a bit of extra income while he gained his accountant's diploma. First Preference Results 1983-2019 So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. . But I agree with comments on this blog that both Bowes and Green have not called it for Labour, which does not mean that they believe Greens have it, just that it is too close to call. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. This even includes the most recent batches of postal votes where the Greens outperformed Labor by 7% (after minor preferences). The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. 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